Thursday, June 20, 2013

Crude Oil Slips as Demand Outlook Weakens

U.S. crude-oil futures fell Thursday as slumping gasoline prices and forecasts for weaker global demand weighed on the oil market.

Light, sweet crude for May delivery settled $1.13, or 1.2%, lower at $93.51 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Brent crude on the ICE futures exchange fell $1.60 to $104.19 a barrel.

Oil declined in tandem with gasoline futures, which settled at the lowest level since January as traders continue to flee from rising domestic supplies. Reformulated gasoline blendstock, or RBOB, has fallen 8.8% in April, and settled 3.41 cents lower Thursday at $2.8310 a gallon.

On Wednesday, the U.S. Energy Information Administration said U.S. gasoline stockpiles rose 1.7 million barrels last week. Imports to the U.S. East Coast rose 64% from the week earlier period to the highest levels since August, and stockpiles in this high-demand region are now 5.4% above the five-year average level for this time of year.

"You've got flat U.S. demand and growing production," said Andy Lebow, an oil broker at Jefferies Bache in New York. "The market's reached this moment, it's a moment of clarity" about high supplies, he said.

Oil futures have fallen for most of 2013, and after peaking in March U.S. gasoline prices have also tumbled. Refineries that shut down earlier this year for scheduled maintenance periods have started to ramp up operations, churning out more fuel despite tepid demand from drivers.

Weak gasoline demand is helping to lower prices at the pump. National average retail regular gasoline prices fell to $3.564 a gallon Thursday, according to the daily AAA Fuel Gauge Report. Prices are down from $3.703 a gallon a month ago.

Still, dimmer prospects for fuel use aren't confined to the U.S. The International Energy Agency, which represents a group of the world's largest oil-consuming countries, cut its forecast for 2013 oil-demand growth by 25,000 barrels a day to 90.6 million barrels a day due to falling fuel use in industrialized countries, particularly in Europe.

The IEA's revised outlook follows similar reports this week from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and the Energy Information Administration. Both groups cut their forecasts for world oil-demand growth this year.

A weaker outlook on fuel usage this year, coupled with surging U.S. production and an improving supply outlook in other regions, is keeping a lid on global oil prices.

May heating oil settled 4.88 cents lower Thursday at $2.8991 a gallon.

Copyright (c) 2013 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.

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